White House 2008: Republican Nomination

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. March 9-12, 2007. N=631 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican.

.

"Now I'm going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the Republican Party presidential nomination in 2008. If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, listen carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most likely to vote for. . . ." Names rotated

.

3/9-12/07 2/23-26/07 1/22-23/07
% % %
Rudy Giuliani 40
38
26

John McCain 20
24
30

Newt Gingrich 10
12
14

Mitt Romney 7
7
5

Sam Brownback 2
2
3

Mike Huckabee 2
1
1

Jim Gilmore 1
-
1

Chuck Hagel 1
1
1

Tom Tancredo -
1
1

Other (vol.) 2
1
1

Will not vote (vol.) 2
1
1

Unsure 13
12
14

George Pataki n/a
n/a
2

.

"What if your choices for the Republican nomination were just John McCain, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani and Newt Gingrich -- which one would you vote for?" Names rotated

.

%
Rudy Giuliani 43

John McCain 24

Newt Gingrich 13

Mitt Romney 9

Will not vote (vol.) 1

Unsure 9


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CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. March 9-11, 2007. N=401 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. MoE ± 4.9.

.

"Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008. . . ." Names rotated

.

3/9-11/07
%
Rudy Giuliani 34

John McCain 18

Newt Gingrich 9

Mitt Romney 9

George Pataki 3

Jim Gilmore 2

Sam Brownback 2

Chuck Hagel 2

Ron Paul 2

Mike Huckabee 1

Tom Tancredo 1

Tommy Thompson 1

Duncan Hunter -

Unsure
17

.

1/19-21/07 12/5-7/06 11/17-19/06 10/27-29/06 8/30 - 9/2/06
% % % % %
Rudy Giuliani 32
29
33
29
32

John McCain 26
24
30
27
21

Newt Gingrich 9
13
9
12
12

Mitt Romney 7
6
9
7
6

Jim Gilmore 3
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a

George Pataki 3
2
1
5
3

Sam Brownback 2
2
2
1
1

Chuck Hagel 1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a

Mike Huckabee 1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a

Duncan Hunter 1
1
2
n/a
n/a

Ron Paul 1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a

Tom Tancredo 1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a

Tommy Thompson 1
2
3
n/a
n/a

Unsure
12
23
8
11
14

Bill Frist n/a
n/a
3
6
4

George Allen n/a
n/a
n/a
2
7


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. March 5-7, 2007. N=806 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and leaners.

.

"If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] for whom would you vote?"

.

%
Rudy Giuliani 35

John McCain 22

Newt Gingrich 11

Mitt Romney 8

Mike Huckabee 3

Sam Brownback 3

None 6

Unsure 12


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




American Research Group poll. March 2-5, 2007. N=600 likely Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

Preference for Republican Presidential Nominee:

.

%
Rudy Giuliani 34

John McCain 30

Newt Gingrich 12

Mitt Romney 7

Sam Brownback 1

Jim Gilmore 1

Chuck Hagel 1

Mike Huckabee 1

George Pataki 1

Ron Paul 1

Tom Tancredo 1

Tommy Thompson 1

Duncan Hunter -

Unsure 9


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). March 2-5, 2007. Asked of Republicans, and non-Republicans who said they would vote in a Republican presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,007 adults nationwide).

.

"Let me mention some people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2008. If the next Republican primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote . . . ?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"

.

3/2-5/07 12/8-11/06
% %
Rudy Giuliani 38
34

John McCain 24
29

Newt Gingrich 10
10

Mitt Romney 8
8

Sam Brownback 2
2

Mike Huckabee 2
2

Tommy Thompson 2
1

Duncan Hunter 1
n/a

Other (vol.) 1
2

None (vol.) 3
3

Unsure 9
8

George Pataki n/a
1

.

"Thinking of these same candidates again, are there any candidates for whom you would definitely NOT vote for the Republican nomination for president?"

.

3/2-5/07
%
John McCain 20

Newt Gingrich 14

Mitt Romney 9

Rudy Giuliani 7

Sam Brownback 6

Mike Huckabee 4

Tommy Thompson 3

Duncan Hunter 2

None (vol.) 24

Unsure 22

.

"If the choice for the Republican nomination came down to Rudy Giuliani and John McCain, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"

.

Rudy
Giuliani John
McCain Neither/
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % %
3/2-5/07
55 34 1 10